0:00 – 8:07

David Yazdan, Head of Business Development, gives an update on the Firm and performance.

8:08 – 13:08

Bill Miller IV, CIO and Portfolio Manager, shares his Q3 in Review. The key story of the quarter was the synchronized global Central Bank easing and the subsequent actions of markets. The recent quarter was a strong one for stock markets, continuing the strong performance we’ve seen in 2024. The US Bond markets delivered its second best quarter of performance in 29 years. Bill also comments on China.

13:09 – 26:21

Daniel Lysik, Portfolio Manager, gives an update on the value landscape – why we are finding compelling value in Small Cap and avoiding the Mag 7. He discusses the increasing market concentration of the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 over the past 30 years, highlighting significant shifts in price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios. Market concentration intensified post-2016, with the top 10 companies’ P/E ratio doubling after the COVID-19 outbreak. He notes that while there was some underperformance between late 2021 and 2022, concentration levels have returned to near-record highs, with companies investing heavily in AI and becoming more capital intensive. Dan also highlights the risk of overvaluation in certain long-duration equities and the increasing concentration in growth and mega-cap stocks. He discusses the potential for market broadening, drawing parallels to previous cycles (specifically 2000-2006) where small-cap stocks significantly outperformed large-cap growth stocks. Additionally, Dan mentions specific undervalued stocks and outlines the potential for further mispricing opportunities, especially in sectors like energy and broadcasting.

26:22 – 41:09

Bill Miller IV on how he uses the Miller Value strategies in his personal portfolio. While Bill emphasizes active risk in his portfolio, many advisors will use the Miller Value strategies to complement a passive allocation. High active share strategies can add value to a portfolio by diversifying exposure and the return/risk profile of the portfolio.

We think carefully about how our strategies can provide value to our investors and we aim to provide active management at a fair price. Value is a very strong component of everything we do.

Key beliefs to invest in his funds include:

  • Confidence in active management’s ability to outperform passive strategies.
  • Doubt in the Mag 7 stocks’ ability to provide the best risk-adjusted returns currently.
  • The importance of alignment between the fund managers and the companies they invest in, emphasizing insider activity and capital allocation.

He discusses two funds in detail (all data as of 9/30/24):

Miller Income Fund: Trades at significantly lower multiples (8.2x price-to-free-cash-flow and 5.8x EV/EBITDA) compared to the S&P 500. LMCLX has outperformed the high-yield index by 60 basis points annually over the last 11 years (since it’s 2/28/24 inception). He highlights the fund’s focus on undervalued yield with a current payout of 6%, emphasizing that recent dividends have been 100% income with minimal return of capital. (SEC Yield with waiver 6.42% and without waiver 6.29% as of 9/30/24) Click for Performance, holdings, prospectus and more.

Miller Value Partners Appreciation ETF: MVPA has outpaced the S&P 500 Index by 1200+ basis points since inception (1/30/24-9/30/24). It currently trades at a 64% discount to the market (11.8x price-to-free-cash-flow), and may exhibit higher volatility. Click for performance, holdings, prospectus and more.

Bill also briefly discusses MVPL, a systematic leverage strategy that targets leveraged long positions in the S&P 500. Although it has the potential for the best returns, it also carries the highest risk of the Miller Value Fund line-up. Click for performance, holdings, prospectus and more.

Overall, the strategies focus on value, small-cap stocks with a strong emphasis on undervaluation and active management.

41:10 – 44:01

Q&A covering Bitcoin, and more